Tag Archive | "barack obama"

Obama Wants To End Mortgage Tax Break

The White House is urging Congress to limit, or cut, the once untouchable tax break for mortgage interest. In traditional class warfare parlance, the White House cap on mortgage interest deductions will fall only upon the “wealthy.” Let’s not drink the Obama Kool-Aid – the effects of this legislative move will impact everyone.

The Obama administration is proposing reducing deductions for homeowners who earn more than $250,000 pear year. Since I’m a southern California Realtor®, I’ll bring up an example from my local market – the South Bay; in particular, Manhattan Beach, CA.

Chart from LA Times Local Neighborhoods.

Manhattan Beach is a wealthy southern California city, nestled along a prime beach-front location. With 38% of Manhattan Beach residents earning over $125,000 per year, we expect this legislative change will materially impact our local market.

When many home buyers calculate the amount of home they can afford, mortgage interest deductions on income factor heavily into capital service capacity, i.e. how much mortgage they can comfortably afford to pay every month. If a high income earner is in the 34% income tax bracket and has a $5,000 per month mortgage, of which, say, roughly $4,000 is comprised of interest payments, the net annual benefit of the tax break is $16,320, or $1,360 per month.

with a simple 5% mortgage rate, the effect of removing the tax break amounts to reducing home values by $326,400, or 34%, the marginal tax rate. These are very simple assumptions; the reality of this legislative change will likely not be as severe. Higher end properties will likely be impacted the most, with falling price levels manifesting in some way throughout the entire housing market.

President Bush attempted to eliminate the mortgage tax break in 2005, but was stopped by Congress. The Obama administration tried this same legislative change with last year’s budget, but met similar obstacles. Given that the real estate market is in such turmoil, and that so many people gain advantage from perpetuating this tax break, it is unlikely the White House proposal will be accepted by Congress.

What Does The Mortgage Tax Break Mean For The Economy?

There is no free lunch in economics – we’ve all heard that term, right? The same is true for tax breaks, or any legislative market manipulation. Enabling borrowers to write off interest payments from their income tax liability increases incentives to borrow money to buy real estate. This ultimately skews capital structures in that less equity investment is made with purchases relative to debt assumption. Increasing debt levels simultaneously increases prices and risk. In essence, the mortgage tax break causes housing to be “over-capitalized,” siphoning disproportionate capital resources from other parts of the economy.

Eliminating the tax break makes good economic sense; however, the result will inevitably be a deflation in housing prices. The magnitude of the deflation is uncertain. Given that real estate markets are already on shaky grounds, reducing, or eliminating, policies that support home prices can potentially lead to a market route.

All things considered, it is too bad President Bush was not able to repeal this tax break in 2005. That was probably the best time to moderate an over-heated market, and realign national capital resources in a relatively stable environment. We may have missed that opportunity for some time.

Posted in Investing, Politics, Real EstateComments Off

Socialists love Facebook!

Socialists love Facebook!

For everyone that has a Facebook account, the status updates can be a powerful tool to get your opinions across to your friends-sometimes I just can’t believe what some people say! A closet socialist friend of mine posted a congratulatory post about Obama’s Nobel Peace Prize… Continue Reading

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Ch-ch-ch-changes: Netting your niche

Ch-ch-ch-changes: Netting your niche

In this, the winter of our economic discontent, it’s not surprising to see the number of people who are finding an opportunity to reinvent. Sure, sometimes it has more to do with just an itching to try something new than anything. But more often than not, this decision is terror-driven or security-driven. Ether way, once you get past the sheer panic of OH MY GOD! WHAT AM I GONNA DO NOW, you just may find yourself in a perfect position to try something new. Continue Reading

Posted in Economics, Featured, Frugality, Personal FinanceComments (2)

Freedom Under Fire, Apr. 22nd, 2009

Freedom Under Fire, Apr. 22nd, 2009

Sen. Rockefeller proposes bill that would give government sweeping powers to control, monitor, and regulate the Internet, ACLU demands public schools stop blocking gay web sites on public computers, Rep. Jane Harman calls incriminating NSA wiretap “abuse of power,” National Service legislation signed into law that will cost $6 billion over 5 years by hiring “paid volunteers,” government will need to issue $2.4 trillion in new Treasury securities in 2009 to meet budget shortfalls and bailout program requirements, and U.S. to give another $5.5 billion to automakers… Continue Reading

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Freedom Under Fire, Apr. 21st, 2009

Freedom Under Fire, Apr. 21st, 2009

Rep. Jane Harman exchanged favors for power-aided Israeli lobbyists accused of espionage, top government investigator says that bank bailouts are open to fraud, Obama tells Cabinet to cut spending by 0.02%, U.S. Treasury estimates it has lost $900 million of taxpayer money from holding $301 billion in Citigroup junk assets, Russian tariffs take toll on U.S. companies, and could the U.S. be headed for a Russian-style economic collapse circa 1998? Continue Reading

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Freedom Under Fire, Apr. 20th, 2009

Freedom Under Fire, Apr. 20th, 2009

U.S. Treasury Dept. considers converting loans to equity ownership in major U.S. banks…is this a backdoor to nationalization? Congressional push-back to Obama’s revenue raising plans is leaving $1 trillion gap in budget, Obama set to take on credit card companies for charging interest rates that he considers too high, the U.S. Energy Secretary warns that some Caribbean islands will disappear because of Global Warming, and China issues another condemnation of U.S. economic policies…threatens to diversify currency reserves out of USD… Continue Reading

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Freedom Under Fire, Apr. 17th, 2009

Freedom Under Fire, Apr. 17th, 2009

President Obama pushes ratification of gun trafficking treaty, housing market continues to crash-new home starts down 11% and foreclosures jumping 17%, Senate to call panel to investigate illegal NSA domestic spying, Obama unveils plan to spend another $13 billion and build high speed trains (it’s a down payment), Democrats attack Texas Gov. Perry over secession comments at tea party, Freedom Watch sues dictator Hugo Chavez for acts of terrorism and human rights violations, and a bit of good news: mystery donors give $45 million to universities… Continue Reading

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Freedom Under Fire, Apr. 16th, 2009

Freedom Under Fire, Apr. 16th, 2009

Intelligence officials say NSA exceeding legal limits on domestic spying-intercepting private e-mails and phone calls, 43% of Americans pay no taxes or actually receive money from government (i.e. receive your money!), consumer prices mixed, nationwide anti-tax protests blast bailouts and big government, Obama vows to simplify the tax code, America has its first “Border Czar,” White House pushes for new government health insurance, Federal Reserve actually considers telling the public what it’s doing, central bank claims recession may be ending soon, Homeland Security labels returning war vets as “right-wing terrorists,” and Texas governor rallies tea partiers with states’ rights agenda… Continue Reading

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Freedom Under Fire, Apr. 14th, 2009

Freedom Under Fire, Apr. 14th, 2009

Obama continues Bush policy of surveillance secrecy despite campaign promises, tax protests spark conservative insurgency online, submit video footage of your tax woes to CNN and you might be aired nationally, Fed historian and political economist predicts worse inflation than 1970s, consider real estate as an inflation hedge, municipal bond market shows signs of life, older workers 45 years and older face brunt of recession, and flood of government debt crowds out private economy… Continue Reading

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Weighing Credit Contraction Against Money Creation

Weighing Credit Contraction Against Money Creation

There are two colossal events occurring in the world right now: Private credit and wealth is being destroyed, and in its place a good deal of money is being created. Much is taking place behind the scenes, driving this epic showdown between natural forces pushing for a return to sustainable equilibrium pitted against the full arsenal of man’s capability to resist.  Just as the fog of war can obscure a battlefield until the end, the outcome of this struggle is far from clear. Nonetheless, there are some telling events to note, signs for which to watch, and consequences to mull. Continue Reading

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