Tag Archive | "HUD"
Posted on 18 June 2010. Tags: agencies, american peasants, austrian economic theory, austrian economics, Big Brother, blog economics, blog political, blog politics, blog real estate, blogging political, blogging real estate, bubble real estate, buyer real estate, buying real estate, capital, capital structure, capitalism, conspiracy theory, crash, debt, debt capital, deflation, department housing urban, Department of Housing and Urban Development, depression, diluting currency, dollar, Economics, economics blog, economics blogging, economics real estate, equity, equity capital, Fannie Mae, federal agencies, federal housing administration, federal national mortgage association, federal reserve, federal reserve flow of funds, feudalism, fha, financing real estate, fiscal policy, FNM, Freddie Mac, government, government policy, great recession, holc, homeowner society, homeowners, homeowners loan corporation, homes, housing, housing bubble, housing bubble crash, housing policy, housing politics, housing recession, HUD, hyperinflation, inflation, institutions, interest rates mortgage, liquidity, monetary policy, mortgage, mortgage interest rates, mortgage rates, mortgages, ownership society, peasants, policy, policy housing, political, political blog, political blogging, political policy, Politics, politics blog, property, public institutions, quantitative easing, rates mortgage, Real Estate, real estate blog, real estate blogging, real estate bubble, real estate bubble crash, real estate buyers, real estate buying, real estate economics, real estate financing, real estate policies, real estate policy, real property, Road to Serfdom, serfdom, serfdom road, theory conspiracy, transfer ownership, U.S. dollar, urban housing, USD
The capital structure of US real estate assets has been in a long process of change. By subsidizing real estate and making mortgage debt artificially cheaper than equity capital, the US government has been effectively transferring real estate ownership from individuals to lending institutions and the Federal Reserve. Here’s how this game has been unfolding, and a warning to Americans that they will one day wake up in a country where most people live as feudalistic peasants, beholden to their banking and political overlords. Continue Reading
Posted in Economics, Politics, Real Estate
Posted on 12 June 2010. Tags: barack obama, blog political, blog real estate, california real estate, class warfare, credit cycle, Economics, Fannie Mae, financial system, fiscal policy, FNM, freedom, home prices, homes manhattan beach, housing policies, housing policy, housing prices, HUD, income manhattan beach, inflation, liberty, manhattan beach, manhattan beach homes, manhattan beach income, manhattan beach property, monetary policy, money, mortgage, mortgage deduction, obama, political blog, political economy, Politics, politics blog, politics real estate, prices housing, Real Estate, real estate blog, real estate economics, real estate prices, real estate tax, Rob Viglione, socal real estate, socalrea, socialism, southern california, tax, tax real estate, taxation
The White House is urging Congress to limit, or cut, the once untouchable tax break for mortgage interest. In traditional class warfare parlance, the White House cap on mortgage interest deductions will fall only upon the wealthy. Let’s not drink the Obama Kool-Aid – the effects of this legislative move will impact everyone.
The Obama administration is proposing reducing deductions for homeowners who earn more than $250,000 pear year. Since I’m a southern California Realtor®, I’ll bring up an example from my local market – the South Bay; in particular, Manhattan Beach, CA.

Chart from LA Times Local Neighborhoods.
Manhattan Beach is a wealthy southern California city, nestled along a prime beach-front location. With 38% of Manhattan Beach residents earning over $125,000 per year, we expect this legislative change will materially impact our local market.
When many home buyers calculate the amount of home they can afford, mortgage interest deductions on income factor heavily into capital service capacity, i.e. how much mortgage they can comfortably afford to pay every month. If a high income earner is in the 34% income tax bracket and has a $5,000 per month mortgage, of which, say, roughly $4,000 is comprised of interest payments, the net annual benefit of the tax break is $16,320, or $1,360 per month.
with a simple 5% mortgage rate, the effect of removing the tax break amounts to reducing home values by $326,400, or 34%, the marginal tax rate. These are very simple assumptions; the reality of this legislative change will likely not be as severe. Higher end properties will likely be impacted the most, with falling price levels manifesting in some way throughout the entire housing market.
President Bush attempted to eliminate the mortgage tax break in 2005, but was stopped by Congress. The Obama administration tried this same legislative change with last years budget, but met similar obstacles. Given that the real estate market is in such turmoil, and that so many people gain advantage from perpetuating this tax break, it is unlikely the White House proposal will be accepted by Congress.
What Does The Mortgage Tax Break Mean For The Economy?
There is no free lunch in economics weve all heard that term, right? The same is true for tax breaks, or any legislative market manipulation. Enabling borrowers to write off interest payments from their income tax liability increases incentives to borrow money to buy real estate. This ultimately skews capital structures in that less equity investment is made with purchases relative to debt assumption. Increasing debt levels simultaneously increases prices and risk. In essence, the mortgage tax break causes housing to be over-capitalized, siphoning disproportionate capital resources from other parts of the economy.
Eliminating the tax break makes good economic sense; however, the result will inevitably be a deflation in housing prices. The magnitude of the deflation is uncertain. Given that real estate markets are already on shaky grounds, reducing, or eliminating, policies that support home prices can potentially lead to a market route.
All things considered, it is too bad President Bush was not able to repeal this tax break in 2005. That was probably the best time to moderate an over-heated market, and realign national capital resources in a relatively stable environment. We may have missed that opportunity for some time.
Posted in Investing, Politics, Real Estate
Posted on 12 April 2009. Tags: affordable housing, banking, banks, barack obama, capitalism, China, commander, common stock, communism, community organizer, contractors, Crash Proof, Cuba, debt, deflation, Department of Housing and Urban Development, dollar, economic devlopment, Economics, embargo, federal, federal reserve, financial institutions, free enterprise, freedom, gas prices, general, Goldman Sachs, GS, housing, HUD, inflation, Investing, investors, iraq, lending, leverage, liberty, liquidity, loans, military, monetary policy, money supply, mortgages, nationalization, obama, Obamanomics, peter schiff, Politics, poor, portfolio, predicted financial crash, President Obama, printing, profitability, Ray Odierno, Real Estate, report, Rob Viglione, seasonal demand, sell shares, subprime, survey, Tillby Lundberg, Tim Geithner, treasuries, treasury bonds, Treasury Secretary, U.S. dollar, USD, war in iraq
HUD program turns out to benefit contractors and not the poor…go figure! China cranks up its printing presses-expect global inflation, Peter Schiff (“Dr. Doom”) discusses his book “Crash Proof”, Goldman Sachs plans to sell billions in stock to pay off government aid ASAP, gas prices up 5% in 3 weeks…inflation? Top U.S. general says we’ll be out of Iraq by 2011, and 75% of Americans want to lift Cuba embargo… Continue Reading
Posted in Featured, Freedom Under Fire
Posted on 11 March 2009. Tags: Alan Greenspan, capitalism, congress, default rates, Department of Housing and Urban Development, Economics, Fannie Mae, Fed, federal funds rate, federal reserve, Freddie Mac, free enterprise, free trade, global trade, globalization, housing, HUD, interest rates, montary policy, mortage industry, mortgage rates, mortgages, Politics, protectionism, Real Estate, Rob Viglione, secondary market for mortgages, socialism, speculation, subprime borrowers, subprime lending
Former Federal Reserve Chairman, Alan Greenspan, published an editorial in the Wall Street Journal today that absolves himself of any wrong-doing in the housing bubble and its subsequent destructive aftermath. Latching onto a weak argument that circa 2002 long-term mortgage and short-term federal funds rates had statistically diverged in correlation, he suggests that the overcapitalization of housing resulting from cheap credit was not his fault. Many critics have pointed the finger at Greenspan for setting short-term rates too low for too long. Access to cheap credit, according to critics, sparked “irrational exuberance” in the housing market, flooding the sector with unprecedented capital and driving prices to ridiculous levels.
Rather, Greenspan blames global trade in boosting foreign savings rates and leaving the U.S. with large current account imbalances that were subsidized by our trading partners. The current account cash flows went almost exclusively into housing, driving long-term mortgage rates to unprecedented lows and encouraging speculation.
Hilariously, in his editorial Greenspan cites famous economist Milton Friedman as saying that during Greenspan’s tenure from 1985-2005, “There is no other period of comparable length in which the Federal Reserve System has performed so well. It is more than a difference of degree; it approaches a difference of kind.”
Friedman did not live to see the aftermath of Greenspan’s policies. Short-term federal funds and long-term mortgage rates did diverge in correlation, but they did so precisely because of Fed and other governmental policies. The structural distortions in our economy leading to sustained trade imbalances were caused by irresponsible monetary and fiscal policies. Congress legislated the creation of the secondary mortgage market, mandated that it funnel capital to subprime borrowers, and taxed away America’s industrial base. Couple this with a sustained period of negative real interest rates orchistrated by Greenspan, and the U.S. economy grew ridiculously distorted over time, channeling the world’s savings towards our consumption, leaving the country bereft of productive capacity. Housing is not productive, but consumptive.
Global trade is not the problem. Current account and trade deficits, of themselves, are not the problem. Artificial interest rate manipulation, social engineering legislation that drives consumption over production, and inflationary monetary policy that drives perpetual inflation and currency debasement are the issues.
Mr. Greenspan accuses his detractors of rewriting history, but that is precisely what he is attempting to do.
Posted in Economics, Politics
Posted on 20 February 2009. Tags: BAC, Bank of America, banking, banks, banks get slaughtered, budget defici, C, Chuck Schumer, Citigroup, congress, credit score, debt, Economics, entitlement programs, Fannie Mae, federal reserve, financial risk, fire Congress, Freddie Mac, government business model, home appraisal, House of Representatives, HUD, income documentation, interest rates, lending standards, leverage, low income housing, Medicaid, Medicare, money supply, nationalization, nationalize, Office of Housing and Urban Development, Politics, public debt, risk, Rob Viglione, Senate, Senator, social security, unfunded liabilities, Wells Fargo, WFC, wipe out shareholders, zombie banks
With all the speculation on a government takeover of the banking industry, including Alan Greenspan’s statement that “the U.S. may have to temporarily nationalize some banks until the industry is restructured,” we should do some serious soul searching. America has a long tradition of respecting property rights and restricting government power from the private domain. Overt nationalization would be unconstitutional, but change is in the air… Continue Reading
Posted in Economics, Politics
Posted on 27 December 2008. Tags: Economics, housing, housing crisis, HUD, low income housing, Politics, real estate bubble, Rob Viglione, subprime buyers, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development

Ever heard of the crash in subprime mortgages? In 2008, this was the primary cause behind the financial and credit crises. The reason: too many loans to people who could not afford them. One government department, in particular, was very much responsible for getting property into the hands of large numbers of people who should not have been buying: U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD). HUD’s new solution to “fixing” the housing crisis: make it easier for subprime buyers to keep on buying!
There were various reasons for the high number of loans to unqualified buyers:
Wall Street geniuses came up with some clever methods for splices up these loans and trading them on secondary markets, adding liquidity and making the engineered instruments look better than the subprime debt of which they were comprised. The premise for securitization is great, but the underlying risks posed by this inflated financial system were not recognized by far too many parties to these transactions.
What happened was an implosion of debt instruments related to subprime mortgages. Now, after trillions of dollars of losses, our currency and entire financial system in jeopardy, the children of Congress are tossing more money at HUD to extend more loans that will end up bad. Are these people insane or trying to bankrupt us all?
Posted in Economics, Featured, Politics, Real Estate
Posted on 29 September 2008. Tags: barack obama, cause of housing bust and credit crisis, community organizer, congress, Economics, failure of socialism, Fannie Mae, federal funds, financial crisis, Freddie Mac, housing bust, HUD, mortgage monopoly, obama is a socialist, stock crash
Community Organizer (CO) Barack Obama has repeatedly stated that this financial crisis proves a fundamental failure of our economic system. He’s right. Although, I doubt he realizes exactly why. CO Obama believes these hard times point to the failure of free enterprise, markets, and Capitalism. On that count, he’s incorrect…nearly treasonously so. We are witnessing the results of decades of bad government policy. Social engineering on so many convoluted levels has finally caused such a severe blow to our society that we are finally taking notice. The best explanation comes from Harvard University economist, Jeffrey A. Miron. Continue Reading
Posted in Economics, Featured, Politics, Real Estate
Posted on 24 September 2008. Tags: EPA, federal funds rate, housing boom, housing bubble, HUD, Investing, land use regulation, monetary policy, Real Estate, Rob Viglione, speculation
I read an article today that brought up two great points: Housing bubbles are worse in localities with high land use regulations, and federal housing policies geared towards subsidizing low-income homebuyers encourage folks who can’t afford to buy to do so anyway. Tag on ridiculously low federal funds interest rates for way too long and you have a recipe for disaster. Continue Reading
Posted in Economics, Investing, Politics, Real Estate